Analysis of rumors about Westbrook joining the Warriors: Rumor logic and potential value

Analysis of the authenticity of the rumors‌

The source of the news is questionable‌

The so-called "Warriors' reporter Monte Poole leaked information" has no evidence, and none of the authoritative American media (ESPN, TA, Shams) reported this matter.

The "2-year USD 8.6 million contract" was a violation of regulations before the opening of the free market (before July 1), and violated the provisions of the alliance negotiation window period.

Sales are reasonable‌

Westbrook's salary was US$3.84 million last season. If he accepts a contract of 8.6 million (average annual 4.3 million), although it is a salary increase, European teams have offered him an annual salary quote of 5 million euros (about US$5.35 million), which has insufficient salary advantages.

Tactical adaptability deduction‌

Westbrook’s possible value‌:

‌Substitute engine‌

This season, the substitute averaged 13.3 points + 6.1 assists per game. The ability to break through and pass the ball can fill the problem of offense stagnation when Curry rests (24th in the Warriors’ substitute score league).

The speed of the fast attack is consistent with the Warriors' "early attack" system, and the offensive efficiency is 78% of the players in the Super League.

‌Defensive enthusiasm‌

The data of the scrambler is impressive: 4.3 points per game + 2.9 cutoffs, and the defensive enthusiasm is better than the Warriors' current substitute point guard (Joseph/Jerome).

⚠️ ‌Fatal shortcomings‌

Space blockage‌: The career three-point shooting rate is 30.5%, and the opponent's shorting rate is as high as 47%, which is contrary to the Warriors' passing and cutting system.

Risk of turnover‌: Assisted error ratio is 2.1:1, higher than Curry (3.4:1) and Paul (4.5:1).

The Warriors' real needs priority‌

Inside reinforcement‌

Dream Chasing + Looney combination aging, the frame protection efficiency has dropped to 22nd place in the league, and the management prefers to pursue centers such as Bitaze/Olynik.

Forward projection‌

Wigkins' condition declined + Payton Jr. suffered frequent injuries, and the substitute forward's three-point shooting percentage was only 33.1% (7th from the bottom in the league).

The last point guard choice‌

If Paul leaves the team and Podjemsky has not grown, he may consider low-cost alternatives like Westbrook.

Real possibility assessment‌

Scenario‌Key constraints

8.6 million sign‌

Base salary‌20%-30%Westbrook is willing to cut his salary to compete for the championship + Paul leaves the team

Stay with Clippers/Go to Europe‌>70%Clippers can give higher roles+European salary advantages

Rational conclusion‌: This rumor is more of an entertainment nature than a practical significance. If the Warriors sign Westbrook with a basic salary, it can be regarded as a lottery draw, but the quotation of 8.6 million is purely nonsense - it is better to chase Tyasse Jones if you have this budget (5.3:1 assists and turnovers last season).