[Today s Event] 3-string 1: Dortmund is in better shape recently, Inter Milan is strong (with sweeping)

Tuesday 004 Club World Cup Fruminense VS Dortmund

Match time: 2025-06-18 00:00

Paper strength: In terms of paper strength, Dortmund has an absolute advantage. Dortmund's net worth is as high as 477,900,000 euros, which is much higher than Fruminense's 82,650,000 euros. The World Club Ranking also confirms this gap: Dortmund ranks 9th, while Fruminense ranks only 71st. Dortmund has more abundant European top honors (including 1 Champions League and 8 Bundesliga championships), while Fruminense's core honors are concentrated in South American events (such as 1 Liberators Cup champion). There is a significant gap in overall strength

Summary: Dortmund's strength is crushed and has huge advantages.

Recent record: Fruminense has been in excellent home form recently, winning all three games, including a 2-0 victory over Yunscaldas (the opponent is worth 10.33M, ranking 380), a 2-1 victory over Vascoda Gama (the value is 82M, ranking 224), and a 2-0 victory over Spain United (the value is 14.23M, ranking 873). However, most of the opponents are low-priced and low-ranking teams, and their value is limited. Dortmund has performed stronger away, winning 2 wins and 1 draw in the last 3 games: 4-2 defeated Leverkusen (567.05M, ranking 15), 3-2 defeated Hoffenheim (137.95M, ranking 159), and 2-2 draws Bayern (903.5M, ranking 2). Especially against top teams such as Leverkusen and Bayern, they remain unbeaten and show a higher level of competitive state.

Summary: Dortmund has been in better shape recently and has won a strong team in a row.

Offensive and defensive ability: On the offensive end, Dortmund has stronger firepower: he scored 9 goals in the past 3 away games (3 goals per game), higher than Fruminense's 6 goals in the last 3 home games (2 goals per game). On the defensive end, Fruminense performed firmly: he conceded only 1 goal at home and had 2 clean sheets. In contrast, Dortmund conceded 6 goals away from home and had no clean sheets in the last three games. Fruminense's defense system is more reliable, while Dortmund's offense is more destructive.

Summary: Dortmund's offense is stronger, while Fruminense's defense is more stable.

Event performance: Since this game is the first round of the Club World Cup group stage, the current game data of both teams are in the initial state (0 points, 0 goal difference), lacking detailed statistics on goals, conceding, possession rate and shooting, and it is impossible to directly compare offensive and defensive balance, control or offensive efficiency. Judging from the group ranking, Dortmund temporarily ranked first (Fruminense 2), but there is no substantial difference. It is recommended to focus on paper strength and recent performance as the basis for evaluation.

Summary: The data in the first round of the event is insufficient and there is no reliable comparison yet.

Comprehensive Analysis

Win draw: Loss

Total goals: 3 goals / 4 goals

Half-game: Losses: 0:3 / 1:3

Unpopular warning

Low compensation changes: -0.41

5%+Institutions: 0

The average value of low compensation changes and the odds changes of most companies are relatively mild. This shows that the situation in the game is relatively stable, with low uncertainty and a small probability of unpopularity.

Tuesday 009 European Youth Championship Spanish U21VS Italian U21

Match time: 2025-06-18 03:00

Paper strength: In terms of paper strength, the Portuguese U21 has an overwhelming advantage. The Portuguese U21 team has a net worth of 164.4 million euros, and the core player Kunda's value (45 million euros) has surpassed the Georgian U21 team's total value (17.53 million euros).

Georgian U21's highest-value player, Azarov (4.5 million euros), is only equivalent to the level of a substitute player in Portugal (such as Gomez's worth 15 million euros). In addition, Portugal ranked 1st in the U21 group stage, with a goal difference of +5, showing its dominance.

Summary: Portugal U21 has crushed its paper strength and has significant advantages.

Recent record: Georgia U21 has been in excellent home form recently, but its opponent is weak. All wins in the last three home games (3 wins and 0 losses), including the Croatian U21 ($17.75 million) and Moldova U21 ($2.9 million). Portugal U21 has won 2 and lost 1 away in the last three away games. Although it defeated Andorra U21 ($350,000) and Slovak U21 ($34.68 million), it lost 2-4 to England U21 ($400 million) and exposed the defense issues against strong teams. Recent comparison of opponent strength: Portugal's away opponent's total value is about 350 million euros, far exceeding the total of Georgian opponents (about 23.75 million euros).

Summary: Georgia has won consecutive home games but is not valuable; Portugal has a higher away game winning rate and stronger pressure resistance.

Offensive and defensive ability:

Offensive end: Portugal U21 scored 5 goals in the current match (2.5 goals per game), Georgia U21 scored 4 goals (2 goals per game), but Portugal's shooting rate was higher (5.5 shots per game vs 3).

Defensive end: Portugal U21 conceded 0 goals in the current match, and goalkeeper Suarez saved 7 times; Georgia U21 conceded 4 goals, with only 2 home wins of the middle and lower-level teams. Portugal's steal core Nazione averaged 3 steals + 1 interception per game, making the defense more stable.

Summary: Portugal has an overall advantage in both offense and defense, especially in the defensive end, with obvious dominance.

Event performance:

Ball control and efficiency: Portugal U21 has an average ball control rate of 51%, and a pass success rate of 88.09% (Georgia 48%/82.37%), showing stronger control.

Offensive efficiency: Portugal averages 12.5 shots → 5.5 shots (conversion rate 44%), Georgia 8 shots → 3 shots (37.5%), Portugal has a stronger ability to seize opportunities. Offensive and defensive balance: Portugal scored 5 goals/conflict 0 goals, Georgia scored 4 goals/conflict 4 goals, Portugal won with stability.

Summary: Portugal has a comprehensive lead in control, offensive efficiency and offensive and defensive balance.

Confrontation Features: Historical Confrontation: Both sides have won 1 game in the last two matches. Georgia U21 won a 2-0 home win in 2023, but lost 1-4 away in 2022. Game features: There has been no draw in the last two encounters, and Georgia's home victory is somewhat accidental (Portuguese has the advantage in shooting but is inefficient).

Summary: There are wins and losses in historical clashes, but Portugal has the overall strength and a strong desire to fight revenge.

Comprehensive Analysis

Win draw: Win

Total goals: 3 goals / 2 goals

Half-game: Win

Score: 2:0 /2:1

Unpopular warning

Low compensation changes: -1.24

5%+Institutions: 0

The average value of low compensation changes and the odds changes of most companies are relatively mild. This shows that the situation in the game is relatively stable, with low uncertainty and a small probability of unpopularity.

Tuesday 012 Club World Cup Monterrey VS Inter Milan

Match time: 2025-06-18 09:00

Paper strength: Monterrey's team's net worth is 71,500,000 euros, ranking 126 in the World Club; Inter Milan's team's net worth is as high as 739,800,000 euros (about 10 times that of Monterrey), ranking 6 in the World Club. In terms of honor, Inter Milan, as the top European giant, has many European Champions League and Serie A titles, while Monterrey's advantages are mainly concentrated in the Central and North American League awards. Inter Milan is far more valuable than Monterrey and has a sharp lead in the world rankings (120 places difference), proving that its paper strength has an overwhelming advantage.

Summary: Inter Milan has strong strength and huge advantages.

Recent results: Monterrey has 2 wins and 1 loss in the last three home games: 3-2 defeat to Toluca (the opponent is worth 72.95M, ranking 86), 2-0 defeat to the Cougars (48.4M, ranking 347), and 1-2 defeat to Pachuca (55.95M, ranking 145). Inter Milan has 2 wins and 1 draw in the past three games: 2-0 against Como (176.05M), 2-0 against Turin (191.5M, ranking 115), and 3-3 draw in Barcelona (1.07B, ranking 3). Inter Milan has more wins (2 wins vs 2 wins), and has defeated opponents with significantly higher value and rankings (such as Barcelona ranks 3rd in the world), showing stronger stability; although Monterrey has two wins, his opponents are weak (such as the Cougars rank 347), and has recently lost at home.

Summary: Inter Milan is in better shape in the near future.

Offensive and Defensive Ability: Offensive: Monterrey has scored 6 goals in his last 3 home games (2 goals per game), Inter Milan has scored 7 goals in his last 3 away games (2.33 goals per game), and the latter has a slightly stronger offensive firepower. Defensively: Monterrey conceded 4 goals, 1 clean sheet at home in the last 3 games (versus the Cougars); Inter Milan conceded 3 goals, 2 clean sheets away in the last 3 games (versus Como and Torino). Inter Milan conceded fewer goals and more zero-point shots (2 vs 1), reflecting its stronger defense.

Summary: Inter Milan has a slightly stronger offense and a more stable defense.

Event performance: Currently in the first round of the Club World Cup group stage, neither side scored or conceded data (Monterrey had 0 points, goal difference 0; Inter Milan had 0 points, goal difference 0). Therefore, it is impossible to directly compare ball possession rate, offensive efficiency or balance. However, as a favorite to win the championship, Inter Milan's overall lineup depth and tactical maturity may bring stronger control; Monterrey's group ranking is currently ranked third and faces pressure to qualify.

Summary: The data in the early stages of the game are insufficient, but Inter Milan has the advantage in overall experience.

Confrontation characteristics: The two sides have no historical confrontation records, so they cannot analyze the psychological advantages or the number of recent draws. Monterrey has fewer draws at home in the past (no draws at home in the last 3 games), and Inter Milan has high stability away (1 draw in the last 3 games). Considering Inter Milan's rich experience in European competitions, its on-the-spot adjustment ability may dominate the rhythm of the game.

Summary: There is no history of confrontation, but Inter Milan has stronger ability to adapt to the competition.

Comprehensive Analysis

Win draw: Loss

Total goals: 3 goals / 4 goals

Half-game: Losses: 0:3 / 0:4

Unpopular warning

Low compensation changes: 4.12

5%+Institutions: 4

Although the average of low compensation changes is high, only a few companies show significant odds changes. Although there is some uncertainty, overall, the possibility of unpopularity is relatively low.