Sunday/018/Ligue 1 [Nice VS Paris FC] The new king Dangli The Ligue 1 king is still the same as before! He led his brothers to win 8 million kilograms of fragrant rice!!

Core Analysis

1. Comparison of League Situation and Fighting Intention

Nice: Ranked 12th, 6 points (5 games 2 wins 0 draws 3 losses), 2 wins 0 losses 1 losses at home, 8 points from the European War Zone

Paris FC: Ranked 11th, 6 points (5 games 2 wins 0 draws 3 losses), away record 0 wins 1 draw 2 losses, and both midfield teams

Fighting Intention Assessment: Nice has more advantages in home games; Paris FC seeks stability away games, and the home team has a strong fighting spirit

2. Comparison of home and away performance and status

vs. Xiang Nice (Home) Paris FC (Away) Advantages have recorded 5 wins and 2 losses at home, scored 11 goals and conceded 6 goals and nearly 6 away 3 wins and 1 draws and 2 losses, scored 7 goals and conceded 11 goals Nice's offensive efficiency averaged 1.8 goals at home, averaged 1.2 goals at home, averaged 1.9 goals at home, averaged 0.9 goals at home, averaged 1.8 goals at home, averaged 1 in the middle and lower tiers in the league, averaged 1.8 goals at home, averaged 1 in the middle and upper tiers in the league, averaged 1.8 goals at home, and lost to the bottom of the league in recent 3 games, lost 1-4 in the last round, lost Brest in his last 3 games, 2 wins and 0 draws and 1 loss, defeated Metz Paris 3-2 in the last round, and averaged 54% per game, ranked 10th in the league in the league, averaged 58% per game, and ranked 8th in the league in Paris FC FC

3. Tactical characteristics and style collision

Nice Tactics: 4-3-3 formation, focusing on wing breakthroughs + set pieces

winger Guilli is the core, with 5 goals and 2 assists in the last 10 games, dribbling success rate of 63%

center defender Dante and forward Murphy's "double highs" combination, set pieces threaten the big

more active at home: strengthen high-pressures and increase offensive levels

Paris FC Tactics: 5-3-2 Defensive counterattack, focusing on midfield control + quick conversion

Midfielders Kebar and Simon scored 5 together The ball is the core of the offensive

The defensive end relies on the coordinated defense of the central defender combination Diallo and Lebris

More conservative away game: shrink the defense line, reduce the ball control, focus on defensive counterattack

Tactical collision: Nice's wing breakthrough and set-pieces just restrain Paris FC's dense defense in the middle; Paris FC's away defense counterattack is difficult to play the advantage of ball control

4. Core players and injuries

Nice core:

Guilli (winder): 5 goals and 2 assists in the last 10 games, dribbling success rate 63%

Murphy (forward): set-piece offensive core, forming a "double high " combination

Dente (back): heading the top success rate 71%, set-piece defensive core

Paris FC core:

Kebar (midfield): scored 5 goals with Simon, offensive organization core

Simon (midfield): scored 5 goals with Kebar, offensive core

Mub (midfield): Key figures of the team's offensive organization

Injury status:

Nice: defender Dante (knee injury), midfielder Kulibali (injured), and many others were injured

Paris FC: striker Hammer (hamstring injury), defender Otavio (suspended), and many others were injured

Impact assessment: Nice's injury is more serious, especially the defensive core Dante is absent, and there are loopholes in the defense line

5. Historical confrontation and psychological advantages

The record of historical confrontation between the two teams is almost zero. Paris FC is a newly promoted team in Ligue 1. There are no psychological advantages or disadvantages brought by historical confrontation. The game will rely more on on-the-spot performance. Paris FC is in better shape recently and may have a certain psychological advantage

Conclusion

Comprehensive analysis shows that Nice will defeat Paris FC 2-1 at home. The main basis is as follows:

The home advantage is obvious: Nice's home record is 5 wins and 2 losses, strong offensive firepower at home (1.8 goals per game), and stable defense (0.9 goals per game); Paris FC's away record is average, and there are obvious loopholes on the defensive end (1.8 goals per game)

Tactical style restraint: Nice's wide breakthrough and set pieces tactics are just targeting the weaknesses of Paris FC's dense defense in the middle; Paris FC's away tactics are conservative, making it difficult to play the advantage of ball control

Core player status: Nice's Guilli and Murphy are in good condition, and can effectively utilize the home advantage and the loopholes in Paris FC's defense line; Paris FC Although Kebar and Simon have excellent offensive abilities, they are difficult to fully play away from home. The impact of injuries is different: although Nice has many injuries, core players Guilli and Murphy remain healthy; Paris FC has relatively mild injuries, but the completeness of the core framework is slightly lower than that of Nice. Historical confrontation: the two teams have no historical confrontation records, and the game will rely more on on-the-spot play and tactical execution. Nice, who plays at home, has a more advantageous game. The game will present a pattern of Nice leading ball control and Paris FC's defensive counterattack. Nice is expected to take advantage of home court and break through the wing, with Guyri and Murphy each scoring a goal to lead. Paris FC may rely on the midfield organization and quick counterattack of Kebar and Simon to win back the game, but it is difficult to change the final direction of the game.

Score prediction: Nice 2-1 Paris FC