July 4th Some events are analyzed and predicted.

Palmeiras event analysis:

1. Defensive cornerstones and personnel crisis: Palmeiras has 6 clean sheets in the last 10 games, and the defense line under the 4-2-3-1 system is highly disciplined. But captain Gustavo Gomez's red card suspension can be called "earthquake magnitude strike" - the defensive leader's interception success rate (78%) and high-altitude top-strike rate (62%) are both the highest. His absence forces the team to use the substitute central defender combination. Facing the impact of Chelsea winger Neto (3 goals in the last 3 games) and Palmer, the left gate position may become a breakthrough.不过，球队仍拥有皮克雷斯（场均解围6.2次）与洛佩斯（头球争顶成功率68%）的高空屏障，小组赛正是凭借定位球破局开罗国民。

2, "Substitute Dependence on the Offensive End: Palmeiras scored 4 of 5 goals in this Club World Cup, especially the "super substitute" combination of Paulinho (the finale of Botafogo in overtime) and Mauricio (the equalizer against Miami International). However, the efficiency of the starting line is worrying: the main striker Vega and Rock only contributed 1 goal together, and Rock may miss the game due to injury. The core midfielder Estewan has signed with Chelsea (transfer fee of 50 million euros), and psychological fluctuations have caused a 30% reduction in the success rate of key passes, further weakening the offensive creativity.

Chelsea Event Analysis:

1. Lineup iteration and tactical innovation: Chelsea under Maresca's rule has completed tactical transformation: from the high-pressure pressing in the Tuchel era to the pressure control system with Enzo as the core, with the away pass accuracy as high as 91%, and the average ball possession rate is 62%. The new player Joao Pedro (joined 60 million euros) is particularly critical to the front line of support - this Brazilian striker is familiar with South American defensive logic and may replicate Palmeiras' "Shock script". However, Kesedo's suspension caused the midfield to lose the king of straight passes (the club world cup 7 straight passes are the first). The lack of experience of 20-year-old new player Esug may be a hidden danger.

2. Wing point and set-piece tactics: Neto and Rees James' right combination has become an offensive engine: Neto contributed 3 goals and 1 assist in the last 3 games, and James' cross-success rate (38%) ranks among the top three full-backs in the Premier League. The two will specialize in Palmelas' left gate vacant, especially the assisting ability of the substitute central defender after Gomez was absent. In addition, Chelsea's set-piece score accounts for 35%, and the success rate of new player Joao Pedro's header (65%) can target Palme Las' high-altitude defense line.

Comprehensive analysis of the two teams' matches:

Palmeiras' set-piece sniper: Although Gomez is absent, Picres (193cm) and Lopez (188cm) have a success rate of 65%, which can target Chelsea goalkeeper Robert Sanchez's attack weakness (2 goals lost this season's mistakes resulted in 2 goals). Chelsea's ball control consumption: With 86.6% pass The ball accuracy, Chelsea can pull Palmeiras' defense through horizontal transfer, waiting for a cross or counterattack opportunity. If Joo Pedro comes on as a substitute, his "Brazil Connect" with Palmer may replicate Palmeiras' substitute winning script. In the final of the Club World Cup three years ago, Chelsea won the championship with Havertz's penalty kick, and Palmeiras has the "home court" (the time difference between the United States and Brazil is only 1 hour) and fights with revenge. But Chelsea's tactical innovation and new aid Potential may offset psychological advantages (Palmeiras equalized in regular time, Chelsea won overtime) (Chelsea won the game by controlling the game). This showdown is not only a contest of tactical systems, but also a test of the adversity and resilience of the two teams. Palmeiras needs to continue his defensive discipline in the absence of Gomez, while Chelsea needs to prove the stability of its new coach system. Regardless of the result, this intercontinental collision will surely add a strong mark to the history of the Club World Cup.

004 Club World Cup Pamelas VS Chelsea Recommended: Negative/Get Score Forecast: 01, 02, 11 Goals: 1 goal/2 goals