The Celtics G4’s life-and-death battle! Double Tanhua Awakening or the Knicks’ destiny to change their fate? The key layout is exposed!

In the Eastern Conference semi-finals G3, the Celtics defeated the Knicks 115-93, ending their previous two consecutive losses. In this game, the Celtics made 20 of 40 three-pointers, with a shooting percentage of up to 50%, completely getting rid of the sluggishness of 25 of 100 three-pointers in the first two games. Tatum and Brown scored 41 points in the doubles, and the substitute surprise Prichard scored 23 points, and the team scored 5 players in double digits, showing the depth of the Celtics lineup. On the other hand, Brunson only scored 23 points in 21 shots, and Hart, who made 3 of 6 three-pointers in G2, scored only 10 points in this game, and his three-point shooting percentage was only 20%, exposing the fatal shortcomings of the core players' unstable state.

G4 key adjustments: The Celtics' three killer moves lock in the victory

1, the law of conservation of three-point efficiency: the first three-point shooting averaged 43 times, and the shooting rate is like a roller coaster (G1 25%→G2 25%→G3 50%). G4 needs to control the proportion of three-pointers to more than 35%, focusing on attacking the Knicks' weakness in the penalty area - Towns (3 of 11 shots in the penalty area, with a shooting percentage of less than 30%). When he came on the court, the Knicks lost as much as 54.3 points in the penalty area.

2. Tatum's misalignment punishment: Facing Anunobi's death entanglement, Tatum G3 chose to use 7 assists to revitalize the entire team. G4 needs to use the "Horford high-level support + double-Tanhua no-ball interspersion" combination punch to force Hart (193cm tall) to force the misalignment and cannot rely too much on three-point metaphysics.

3, 48 minutes of suffocation defense: Enable Cornett as the "Downs consumer" to continue the G3 strategy - when Towns holds the ball, double-teams force him to pass, and White defends Brunson from the bottom of the game throughout the whole game (suppressing his three-point shooting percentage to below 30%). The main reason for the Knicks to lose in the match game is that the three-point shooting rate is too low (5 of 25 shots), and the shooting rate is only 20%. If it can be kept at around 30%, it is still unknown who will win. Although the Celtics beat the Knicks 22 points today, the probability of the Celtics qualifying is still less than 30%. After all, the three-point running and shooting is still too metaphysical.

ESPN's latest prediction model shows that the Celtics G4 win rate is 55.3%, but the score difference is expected to be within 5 points. The winner is: if the Celtics suppresses the Knicks' three-point shooting percentage below 33% (G3 is 20%), the winning rate exceeds 70%

Once the game enters within 3 points of the last 5 minutes, the Knicks are more likely to win with Brunson + Divincenzo's key ball ability (the clutch time shooting percentage in the playoffs is 51.2%).

G4 will witness the ultimate showdown between two basketball philosophy - the Celtics' modern magic ball vs. the retro strangle of the Knicks. Is Tatum breaking the inner demons and leading the team to equalize, or is Brunson transforming into the new king of New York to get the match point? At 7:30 am on May 13, we will wait and see Madison Square Garden!