A big battle! Who is Flagg s lucky next home?

The most competitive teams in 2025 come from the battle royale at the bottom of the league. In the 2024-25 season, in addition to the top teams chasing championship honors, the bottom teams also have goals to pursue. Many teams in the league began to fight early.

The Utah Jazz were issued a ticket by the league, and they were too blatant about the bad game; the Philadelphia 76ers also chose to trade the Grimes DNP, who performed very well after the mid-season. The reason behind it is imagined, mainly because he helped the team win too many games; the Toronto Raptors are also very direct, and they have almost no desire to play in the fourth quarter of this season.

Of course, it is not difficult to understand the battle. After all, Cooper Flag is in front of them at the moment. It is understandable that these teams are playing hard to sprint to maximize the chance of lottery.

The regular season has long ended, and the seeds planted by each team are gradually starting to bear fruit. As this bad competition in 2025 comes to an end, we should also review the overall situation in the league and look forward to some miracles that will happen in this month's lottery.

14%: The first tier of the competition for the No. 1 pick

Except for the Jazz, Hornets and Wizards, which have a record of 19 wins, each team has more than 21 wins in the other teams. Under the lottery system, the three teams will automatically win 14% of the No. 1 pick, which is the biggest favorite next player to draw Cooper Flag.

Although the chances are the same, there are still differences in rankings. The worst in the last place can fall to the fifth ranking, the worst in the second place can fall to the sixth ranking, and the worst in the third place can fall to the seventh ranking.

Originally, the Wizards were the team that sat firmly above the worst throne in the league. At the end of January, their record of only 6 wins and 41 losses was tied with the other teams by at least 4 games. But since then, they suddenly began to build a team system and traded veterans Middleton and Smart, and once scored a qualified record of 11 wins and 18 losses. The Jazz took the opportunity to overtake and secured the bottom position in the league's record.

As for the Hornets, they are stuck in the third place, and the winning margin is still buffering between the two teams. Although Lamelo Ball was reimbursed for the season, they still don’t have much chance of a decline in their record.

Mid-level area: The loss was not thorough enough, and there was no future. The Pelicans also had the chance to join the 14% chance of joining the VIP seat area, but as Zion returned to the team, they began to win the game, and finally had to stop forcibly and reimburse both Zion and McClum for the season, and finally saved the fourth seat. Although there is only a 12.5% ​​chance of winning the No. 1 pick, it is already a good opportunity for the Pelicans.

The Philadelphia 76ers ended up in fifth place, holding a 10.5% chance of winning the No. 1 pick.

seems OK, but it is still quite critical behind this. If their final pick falls out of the top six, the draft pick will be handed over to the Thunder, which is a tragedy that the Sixers are hard to accept. If they can successfully maintain fifth place, they have about 64% chance of leaving their own signing position.

Under this foundation, it is no surprise that they are crazy about playing tricks. After all, this is not only for the chance of drawing lots, but also a battle to defend the first round draft pick. In order to achieve this goal, Philadelphia has been implementing its bad plans since February.

Looking back, the Nets and the Raptors once had the advantage in the bad play route, but in the end they failed to keep up with the bad play pace. In the easy schedule in March, the Raptors won some games that shouldn't have won; while the Nets kept letting the main players play, and they eventually scored 9% (sixth) and 7.5% (seventh) chances respectively.

Playoff Edge: I originally wanted to win, but I lost even worse

For teams that lost the playoffs, the pick is still based on the regular season record.这一点相当关键。 Looking back on last season, although the Hawks made it into the playoffs, their regular season record was only tenth, and in the end they unexpectedly got the No. 1 pick.

The same situation happened this year. The Suns, who ranked 11th in the West, had a record of 36 wins and 46 losses, compared with the Heat, who ranked 10th in the East, with only one game of 37 wins and 45 losses. The result was that the Heat entered the playoffs and even broke into the playoffs, while the Suns did not enter the playoffs, but the Suns had a relatively low draft pick.

As for the 8th Spurs and the 9th Trail Blazers, there are basically 6% and 4.5% chances. Although it is not high, there is also the possibility of becoming a dark horse in the middle of the road. The chances of the last few rankings are almost hopeless: 12th is 1.7%, 13th is 1%, and 14th is only 0.5%. According to the historical records of the lottery, no team has ever been able to draw the No. 1 pick from 11.

In short, with the end of the season, the plans of the league teams have gradually shown results.至于最终谁能拿到弗拉格？谁能从混乱中抽中希望？ The current order has not been determined, but the general pattern has appeared. The 2025 bad competition will soon be announced.