The Blues compete for 5 in the last round: Can you get out if you win? The tie depends on your face & there is still little hope for losing

The 37th round of the Premier League has ended. This article will analyze the situation of Chelsea's five-game competition in the last round.

Chelsea currently ranks fifth in the Premier League with 66 points, ahead of them are Manchester City with 68 points and Newcastle with 66 points, behind them are Villa with 66 points and Forest with 65 points. In the last round, Chelsea will play against the 7th forest, which is the most focused battle for the five.

Too long to read → Summary:

Chelsea holds the initiative in fighting for five. No extreme situations are considered: worry-free to win, dangerous draw, loss and exit.

The detailed situation of Chelsea's five-game competition is as follows:

1, Chelsea won. Chelsea currently has a goal difference of +20. If they win the Forest, they can almost confirm a UEFA Champions League place. The extreme situation is: Villa (goal difference + 9) wins and erases the goal difference gap to push the Blues back, which is almost impossible. If Chelsea wins, the success rate of five is infinitely close to 100%.

2, Chelsea drew. At this time, Chelsea scored 67 points, and it is necessary to look at Newcastle and Villa's expressions. If Chelsea draws, it will take Newcastle to lose, or Villa will not win, one of them must be met.

3, Chelsea lost. At this time, Chelsea was overtaken by the Forest and will drop to 6th, losing the qualification for the Champions League next season. However, there is also an extreme situation to advance: Villa lost + Newcastle lost a big score, and the score was large enough to make Newcastle's goal difference lower than Chelsea, which is almost impossible. If Chelsea loses, the success rate of five is infinitely close to 0%.