May 16th Nordic: Molde vs Christie

[The road to recovery of traditional powerhouses]

Molde gradually got better after experiencing the pain of getting in the early season. He won all the results in the past three rounds of the league, scoring 2 goals per game and blocking opponents twice, showing a good momentum of synchronous improvement on both offense and defense. As a veteran team of the Nordic Super League, its home advantage has gradually emerged - the home winning rate this season is 67%, and the ball possession rate has increased by 8 percentage points compared to last season. It is worth noting that the integration effect of new player forward Hogan, who has contributed 3 goals and 1 assist in the last two games has become a key player.

[Renewed Team Counterattack Challenge]

Christie completed a tactical upgrade and won 3 wins in 8 rounds this season, temporarily ranking in the middle, an increase of 40% over the same period last season. The reality of only 3 points away from the European War Zone has inspired the team's fighting spirit, and its defensive counterattack system is becoming more mature: it ranks in the top five in the league per game, with counterattack goals accounting for 38%. However, we need to be wary of the shortcomings in away games, and the winning rate of off-site tours this season is only 33%.

[Core data comparison]

Home background: Molde has maintained a record of winning against Christie at home in the past three years

State curve: The home team's expected goal value is 2.1 vs. Actual goals 2.3 (third efficient in the league)

Tactical game: Molde's ball control and pressure vs. Christie quickly switches

Linework depth: The home team's bench has 3 international players

[Deep analysis]

Although there is a gap in strength on paper, the three major factors support the home team's advantages:

• Molde's home winning rate in May of the past 10 years is as high as 82%

• Christie has not won against the top six teams this season

• Mainstream data gives reasonable tilts to strong teams whose state has recovered

In summary, it is optimistic that Molde will win the opponent at home.

(Director Option No. 1)

Attached record table: