August 27: Today s event analysis and prediction, selected 4 game predictions are welcome to refer to.

Benfica event analysis:

Recent status and tactical system: Benfica started the Portuguese Super League this season with a strong start, with 2 wins and 0 losses in the first two rounds and a zero-blocked opponent. He contributed 2.5 goals per game on the offensive end and conceded only 0 goals on the defensive end, showing a balanced offense and defense. The team continued the 4-3-3 formation, relying on the organizational scheduling of midfield core João Neves (92% pass success rate) and Di Maria (3.1 key passes per game), as well as the assault ability of winger Gonzalo Ramos. However, the 0-0 draw with Fenerbahce in the first leg exposed the ending efficiency issue - the ball possession rate of 62% but only three shots were directed, and Ramos missed two excellent opportunities. In addition, left-back Grimaldo's injury (knee sprain) may become a hidden danger, and the substitute players lack defensive coverage, and Fenerbahce's counterattacker Bashuay (speed rating S-level) may focus on this wing.

Home advantage and tactical adjustment: Benfica's Bright Stadium can be called the "Devil's Home Stadium", with an average of 2.1 goals per game in the last 10 European games, with a zero-blocking rate of 50%. Coach Bruno Lager may adopt a high-pressure pressing strategy to create threats through crosses from the wing (6.8 corner kicks per game) and set pieces. If the deadlock is not broken in the 30 minutes of the game, it may change the lineup and strengthen the penetration of the middle lane by 4-2-3-1, but you need to be wary of Fenerbahce's low-post defensive counterattack - Mourinho's team is good at compressing the space in the middle lane and directly seeks Bashuai through long passes to create a threat. In addition, Benfica's success rate of high-altitude ball competition is only among the mid-season Portugal Super League. Facing Fenerbahce's high-altitude defense (success rate 76%), set pieces need to be handled with caution.

Fenebace event analysis:

Defensive resilience and counterattack efficiency: Fenerbace continued the "iron-blooded defense" style under Mourinho's coaching. He scored Benfica in the first round and only allowed his opponent to shoot three times in the game, showing his strong tactical execution. The team adopts a 5-4-1 formation, compressing the space in the middle and launching a fast counterattack using the gap between the wing. Bashuay's speed (average 32km/h per game) and Talisca's long-range shooting ability (contributes 2 goals and 1 assist in the last 3 games) are the keys to breaking the situation. Although the Turkish Super League started with 1 win and 1 draw, the efficiency of the offensive end needs to be improved - only 3 goals were scored in the last 3 games, and the away ball possession rate was only 38%, and the goal error rate reached 24% under high pressure.

Away pressure resistance and injury impact: Fenerbahce has outstanding resilience in the European away game, with only 1 loss in the last 5 games, a zero-blocking rate of 60%, and is good at breaking through efficient counterattacks when the ball possession rate is less than 40%. Mourinho's team is particularly good at dealing with intensive defense. Although he did not score in the first leg, he maintained a tie through tactical fouls (14 steals in the game) and goalkeeper Livakovic's divine saves (4 saves). In terms of injuries, the absence of forward Tosson (groin injury) and midfielder Jandash (physical fitness problems) affects the diversity of offense, but the completeness of the main frame is still 85%. Core players such as Bashuai, Talisca, and Duran are all on the roster.

Comprehensive event analysis:

Benfica needs to attack with all his strength at home, but the hidden dangers of left-wing defensiveness and the decline in midfield control may be amplified by Fenerbahce's counterattack. Fenerbahce can continue to put pressure on crosses from the wing (12.3 crosses per game) and set pieces (Talisca takes the penalty), while using Benfica's midfield gap after changing the lineup. If Benfica makes a desperate bet and puts it in the "7 forward formation", he may fall into the adventure of "7 forward formation", but Fenerbahce's midfield strangle (16 steals per game) and central defender Jiku's clearance ability (3.8 times per game) are enough to resolve it. Benfica takes the initiative with his home advantage and tactical targeting, but Fenerbahce's defensive resilience and Mourinho's on-the-spot adjustments may create suspense. If Benfica can break the deadlock as soon as possible, he is expected to advance with a small victory; if he falls into a deadlock, Fenerbahce's counterattack may take away the draw, but the total score will still be difficult to shake Benfica's advancement status.

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