At 3 a.m., Arsenal challenged the 22% miracle of the Champions League! The winner entered the finals and competed for the championship with Inter Milan

At 3 a.m. on May 8, in the second leg of the Champions League semi-finals, Paris Saint-Germain played against Arsenal at home. The first leg was lost 0-1, and OPTA's probability of turning the tables to Arsenal is 22%. If he loses, Arsenal will be empty. The team that advances will face Inter Milan in the Champions League final.

[Confrontation History]

In the European history, the two teams have had 6 matches, with Arsenal winning 2 wins, 3 draws and 1 loss, scoring 7 goals and conceding 5 goals. In the first leg, Arsenal lost 0-1 at home.

【The probability of turning the table is 22%! Arsenal's life was hanging on the line]

In the first leg at the Emirates Stadium, Arsenal conceded the ball in 3 minutes and 15 seconds at the beginning, and finally lost 0-1. Losing at home is a huge blow to Arsenal. OPTA simulation predicts that Arsenal's probability of turning the table is only 22%, which is a life lingering.

If the Champions League is eliminated, Arsenal will be out of the four majors this season: the Premier League champion belongs to Liverpool, the League Cup champion is Newcastle, and the FA Cup is Manchester City and Crystal Palace compete for the championship. If Paris Saint-Germain reaches the final, it will continue to pursue its dream of a three-time champion.

[Demberle's comeback, Paris strives for the second Champions League final in team history]

In the first leg of last week, Demberle scored his only goal. In the second half, Dembele was substituted for a strained biceps with his right thigh and missed last weekend's Ligue 1. Fortunately, Dembele recovered well and was able to catch up with this life-and-death showdown.

Demberle was like a cheat in the 2024-25 season, with 21 goals and 8 assists in 28 games in Ligue 1, 8 goals and 3 assists in 13 games in the Champions League, and 33 goals and 12 assists in 45 games in various competitions. Entering 2025, Dembele scored 25 goals in 25 games. With Dembele here, Paris is more confident - 5 years ago, Paris reached the Champions League final for the first time, and they are looking forward to the second Champions League final in team history.

[Arsenal's iron waist returns, Tarsenal may change its lineup: Rice plays as the front midfielder]

In the first round, Arsenal's midfielder Thomas has accumulated yellow cards and suspended the game. Without Thomas intercepting and sweeping, Arsenal's defensive quality dropped significantly by one level, and Odgao and Rice could not devote all their energy to organizing the offense. In the second leg, Thomas returns, which is great news for Arsenal.

UEFA official predicts that Arteta may change to the formation, and Odgao and Thomas will partner with the midfielder to completely liberate Rice. With 100 appearances for Arsenal, Rice contributed 15 goals and 20 assists, worthy of the transfer fee of 100 million pounds. Rice's free kick could be Arsenal's secret weapon, like the double goal in the Champions League elimination of Real Madrid.

【Expected starter】

Paris Saint-Germain (433): Donaruma/Ashraf, Marginhos, Pacho, Nuno Mendes/Joóón Neves, Vitinia, Fabian Ruiz/Duai, Dembele, Kvaratsheria

Arsenal (4213): Raya/White, Saliba, Kiviol, Skeley/Odegao, Thomas/Rice/Saka, Trosad, Martineli