Analysis of 2 selected football matches on September 4: Uruguay vs Peru + Paraguay vs Ecuador

009 Uruguay vs Peru

Uruguay currently ranks fourth in the South American qualifiers, with 2 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss in the first 4 rounds, 7 points, only 2 points ahead of Peru, and the situation of qualifying is tense. The team performed well at home, with 3 wins and 2 draws in the last 5 home games, and per game conceded only 0.6 goals. The fanatical atmosphere at the Centennial Stadium greatly strengthened its defensive hardness. The lineup focuses on a 4-4-2 system, with central defenders Gimenes and Godin building an experienced back defense, with a success rate of 84% in high altitude top-square top-square; midfielders Besino and Torrera formed a "intercepting double gate", and averaged 2.3 steals per game, effectively cutting off opponent's offense; the front line is paired by Suarez and Nunes, who is good at grabbing points in the penalty area, averaging 2.1 penalty area touches, while Nunes relies on speed to attack the defense line, averaging 3.2 sprint runs per game, and the counterattack threatens. However, the team relies on veterans on offense, and its positional combat breakthrough ability is weak, and its ending efficiency needs to be improved in the face of intensive defense.

Peru is currently ranked 6th in the South American qualifiers, with 1 win, 2 draws and 1 loss in the first 4 rounds, which is only 2 points away from the playoff qualification, and has a strong willingness to grab points away. Its tactics tend to be "technical flow ball control + wing raid", but its away game is poor, with 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses in its last 5 away games, averaging 1.0 goals and conceded 1.4 goals, and the offense and defense balance is easily broken. The team mainly plays a 4-2-3-1 system, with midfielder Tapia's passing success rate reaching 87%, controlling the rhythm with Jotun and delivering shells to the wing; winger Carillo averaged 2.8 times a game, and the forward-surgery cooperation with full-back Loyola is the main offensive method; although forward Lapadula is average in efficiency, his running position can open up space for his teammates. However, the team's defense ability is weak at high altitude balls, and the success rate of high altitude top-square is only 48%. Facing Uruguay's long pass counterattack is likely to expose the gap, and the main midfielder Cueva was injured and the creativity of the midfield declined.

Temperature: Win

Temperature: 1-0 2-1

010 Paraguay vs Ecuador

South American qualifiers 17th round, Paraguay plays Ecuador at home.

Paraguay is currently ranked fifth in the group with 24 points. This qualifier performed well, with 6 wins, 6 draws and 4 losses in 16 rounds. Currently, only 1 point away, you can lock in a South American qualification. Since September 2024, the team has only lost to Brazil in the last round away game, and has recently won five consecutive home games. Argentina and Uruguay also won successfully.

The away team Ecuador is currently ranked second in the group, and has scored 25 points and has been qualified for a qualifying. In 16 rounds, they achieved 7 wins, 7 draws and 2 losses. He scored 13 goals and conceded 5 goals, and his main focus was on a good defense. The team's recent away performance has been average, with 1 win, 3 draws and 1 loss in 5 rounds of games, with a high unbeaten rate but a low winning rate.

The fighting spirit in this game is obviously concentrated on the home team, and the away team has also performed poorly. In history, the home team has already won five consecutive victories at home. In this game, the home team should have concentrated on a relatively high popularity, but continues to remain at a high position. If you are not optimistic about it, you can win easily.

Direction: Let negative

Temperature: 1-1 0-2